Asia-Pacific Ecommerce Forecast 2026

Regional Growth Diverges as East Asia Slows, and India and Parts of Southeast Asia Lead the World

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About This Report
Asia-Pacific retail sales growth will stay resilient at 4.9% in 2026 despite volatility, as ecommerce in China nears 50% of retail sales, and livestreaming will top $1 trillion for the first time. Instant and AI-driven commerce will reshape the region’s digital commerce future, and India and Southeast Asia will power the next growth wave.
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Retail sales in Asia-Pacific will rise 4.9% in 2026, even amid tariff uncertainty and geopolitical risks. While the region no longer leads global retail ecommerce growth, it will remain the world’s largest (above 60% of worldwide total) and home to several of the fastest-growing markets. China is nearing 50% penetration, powered by instant and content-driven commerce, and momentum in India and Southeast Asia should sustain the region’s global lead through our forecast period.

Key Question: How quickly will retail and ecommerce sales grow in Asia-Pacific markets?

Key Stat: In Asia-Pacific, YoY retail ecommerce sales growth in 2026 will range from 21.5% in the Philippines to 4.7% in Japan.

Clients can find the full version of this chart later in the report.

authors

Man-Chung Cheung

Contributors

Sky Canaves
Principal Analyst
Suzy Davidkhanian
VP, Content
Vivian Dong
Forecasting Analyst
Wendy Malloy
Director, Reports Editor
Natalia Ramirez
Sakina Thanawala
Copy Editor
Matt Torpey
Senior Data Visualization Editor
Emman Velasco
Data Visualization Editor
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